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Assessment of Staffing Needs of Systems Specialists in Aviation (2013) Looking for other ways to essay, read this? MyNAP members SAVE 10% off online. Not a MyNAP member yet? Register for a free account to start saving and Essay writing uk, receiving special member only perks. The primary challenge for the committee was to review essay juliet, find ways to create effective staffing models to determine Airway Transportation Systems Specialists (ATSS) staffing level requirements in Technical Operations work sites and appropriately accommodate the various stakeholder concerns discussed in Chapter 2. To address this challenge, the committee reviewed the fundamentals of modeling in Help chat, general as applied to developing staffing estimates, which is the subject of this chapter. A comprehensive study process is presented, as well as key model considerations. The chapter concludes with the quality factors against which a staffing model is evaluated. The review of these modeling fundamentals sets the stage for the evaluation of existing models and creation of recommendations for the use of modeling to successfully define and predict ATSS workforce requirements in future efforts. The Office of Personnel Management’s (OPM’s) End-to-End Hiring initiative defined workforce planning as. the Write review essay systematic process for identifying and addressing the gaps between the workforce of today and the human capital needs of tomorrow. Workplace planning is research, based upon a set of workforce analyses which provide insight into how agencies can align their workforce to meet human capital goals and essay, objectives that link to the agency’s mission and Someone my geology homework degree, strategic objectives. (Office of Personnel Management, 2008:12) The workforce planning cycle as defined by OPM entails five basic steps as shown in Figure 3-1.

Step two of Write review essay, this workforce planning cycleanalyze workforce, identify skill gaps, and conduct workforce analysisincludes much of the committee’s task, which is to provide the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) with guidance in determining the current ATSS workforce size and allocate ATSS personnel to with college online chat, match predicted workload. This portion of the Write film juliet cycle can be a difficult and poorly executed step of an overall workforce planning process, as developing tools to ascertain the Webassign login kinds, numbers, and Write essay, location of workers needed to accomplish an enterprise’s goals and objectives can prove a tremendous. SOURCE: Office of Homework trees, Personnel Management, undated. Essay. challenge. For a large enterprise, skipping the accounting fischer edition workload assessment/workload analysis dimensions and only performing a gap analysis on film juliet existing position structure and Someone homework, supply, then creating a plan to fill open positions, will likely be inadequate for defining the number of employees with particular skills sets and credentials needed in a variety of facilities and geographic locations. Because ATSS personnel maintain tens of thousands of review essay, pieces of equipment of different types and at various stages of the equipment lifespan across a broad geographic area, and at a high level of operational readiness, defining and measuring the workload is formidable. Different philosophies about maintenancefor example, a philosophy of preventive inspections and maintenance versus one of “repair when the system breaks”create a wide spectrum of potential staffing outcomes.

1 The expected levels of performance and tolerances for time between failures of Homework online island trees alumni, systems may drive the need for film review essay extra shifts or ATSS personnel assigned to a particular problem, facility, or geographic location. ATSS technicians may be assigned to a particular task or may be in Essay uk, standby status on a shift and available via telephone for essay juliet call-outs. All organizations base staffing decisions on a paradigm of the underlying production process [or the means by which work is accomplished], whether they do so explicitly or not. This conceptualization is often referred to as a staffing model. Essay Uk. A staffing model is a formal representation of the mechanisms that drive the need for staffing resources. (National Research Council, 2006:4) 1 As the FAA adopted reliability centered maintenance practices, some tradeoffs have already been carefully weighed and incorporated into the agency’s guidance for technical operations. Changes in the services provided and, in the case of Technical Operations, changes in the amount or type of equipment maintained should drive the types and numbers of ATSS personnel required. An effective staffing model should represent work done with existing processes, unless the juliet processes modeled are deliberately modified to reflect anticipated changes in principles fischer, the work; significant change to existing processes require updating or refining the film review essay juliet model to ensure its accuracy. If important factors that have an effect on staffing are identified and accurately measured, then the Homework online island algorithms of a good model should provide useful standards or staffing projections. In many public and private enterprises, human resources account for at least 50 percent of the cost of the operation and can consume a great deal more of the organization’s financial resources. 2 The FAA’s Technical Operations branch currently employs approximately 6,000 full-time ATSS personnel, representing an estimated investment of more than $450 million a year in salary and benefits, or approximately $2.25 billion over a 5-year budget cycle. The true fully burdened workforce cost (which includes 6,100 workers) is likely higher.

3 Most large enterprises keep track of their human capital costs, and that effort typically includes using tools that depict the size and skills of their workforce accurately. Write Essay Juliet. The output of well-designed modeling tools can strengthen the argument for Homework online alumni a correctly sized workforce in budget discussions by providing clearer and reasoned estimates of the risks if the workforce has fewer people than the organization’s missions demand. Although technology is essential to the FAA mission of keeping the national airspace safe for movement of passengers and freight, the right mix of talented human beings is Write review juliet, also essential to achieve that mission. There are many ways to acknowledge the value of the ATSS workforce. Writing Hypothesis Paper. Perhaps the most important is to create jobs in which employees are neither so underchallenged that large numbers sit idle nor so overtasked that performing the mission is overwhelming. A properly sized workforce helps ensure achievement of the film juliet FAA’s mission of Help college, maintaining the safety of the National Airspace System (NAS) at reasonable costs and Write review, levels of efficiency. Moreover, appropriate levels of staffing are likely to reduce turnover that is due to morale issues stemming from placing a responsibility on workers that cannot reasonably be met. Webassign Login. An ancillary benefit to careful workforce planning is personal life balance for ATSS personnel. Juliet. 4 In addition, the value of an accurate staffing model also has to take into account the online trees alumni value of Write film juliet, a high functioning NAS that is both safe and efficient. Although these costs are generally recognized and can be estimated with varying degrees of precision, it would be impossible to calculate the Webassign help login exact cost of understaffing in terms of essay juliet, its impact on business and commerce.

One outage may have far-reaching and costly impacts that are never fully identified. Despite the difficulty of specifying the Writing research exact dollar amount, a robust staffing model must consider the far-reaching effects of understaffing. 2 For example, a 2011 report stated that 80 percent of U.S. Postal Service outlays were spent on labor costs (U.S. Postal Service, 2011).

National Income and Product Accounts data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis indicate that approximately half of state and local government total expenditures are wage and benefit related (http://www.bea.gov/itable/index.cfm) [June 2013]. 3 This is an approximate and conservative estimate, given the previous negotiated floor/threshold of 6,100 workers. If 6,000 full-time workers were employed at a fully burdened cost of just $75,000 per year per worker (which is on the low side), the annual cost would be $450 million and the 5-year cost (assuming no inflation) would be $2.25 billion. The FAA employs more than 30,000 workers and for fiscal year (FY) 2013, the Technical Operations budget request was $1.7 billion, which included a request for authorization of 8,050 full-time equivalent (FTE) employees (Department of Transportation, 2012). 4 Comments submitted to Staffing Needs of Systems Specialists in Aviation Stakeholder webpage, 2013.

The next section of this chapter presents the essay fundamental aspects of modeling that lead to success. Figure 3-2 highlights these components: (1) a comprehensive study process, (2) key model considerations, and (3) quality factors that can enhance the likelihood of (4) desired model performance. Because these components provided the basis for the committee’s assessment of the current assumptions and methods used by the FAA to estimate ATSS staffing needs and for its recommendations regarding more appropriate approaches to staffing models, each component is described in more detail below. Experienced modelers rely more on logic than the rigid application of any given method for developing a staffing model (Law and Kelton, 2000). 5 Thus, throughout any modeling effort, the developers must continually rely on logic and think critically about the task. To be accurate in its estimates, a staffing model should be designed using a comprehensive development process that captures major drivers of ATSS workload at the appropriate level of detail and properly links the homework online workload to the number of person-hours required to achieve the defined tasks of the job incumbents.

Although it was not the intent of the Write film review essay committee to prescribe a detailed staffing model methodology, this report does discuss the steps in a generic logical model development process so that essential actions are considered and not overlooked in creating a specific model for ATSS personnel. 6. 5 For a simulation approach, Law and Kelton (2000) provide examples of essential steps and my geology homework degree, considerations. Write Review Essay Juliet. 6 These steps are derived primarily from modeling staff requirements in Department of Defense entities. The Navy Total Force Manpower Requirements Handbook, April 2000, lists five steps: Planning, Data Gathering, Data Analysis, Documentation and Reporting, and Implementation (U.S. Principles Fischer 11th. Navy, 2000). The Air Force has used similar 6- and 7-step approaches. The Army once used a 12-step modeling algorithm but allows for many more variations today.

The committee’s point here is to focus not on the amount of steps used but on the employment of a logical, comprehensive, phased approach that includes certain deliberate activities to review juliet, create viable manpower staffing models. A caveat is that the conditions under which the homework military services analyze staffing requirements are both similar to and decidedly different from those confronted by the FAA. These organizations all have ATSS-like positions whose incumbents are responsible for maintaining the equipment necessary to manage air traffic in film essay, the airspace. However, the work environment and work rules that may have an effect on staffing vary considerably. For example, the military services, unlike the better uk FAA, all have a greater degree of control of their personnel.

Furthermore, the FAA. The comprehensive modeling process described here consists of Write film, six phases: feasibility, familiarization, measurement design, measurement, analysis/model development and selection, and implementation. Most seasoned workforce modeling experts use a similar approach. For example, the Essay better uk Air Force uses its Management Engineering Program, which describes similar steps that have been refined over decades to produce generations of effective workforce staffing tools. 7 Figure 3-3 outlines the major phases of the comprehensive study process. Write Juliet. Phase 1. Feasibility. The objective of the feasibility phase is to determine if a modeling study effort should proceed or should be canceled or delayed due to problems such as nonstandardization, operational or organization instability, higher or conflicting priorities, and Writing hypothesis nursing, so on.

The decision to Write film review juliet, continue development efforts is based on initial data- and fact-gathering concerning the responsibilities of job incumbents, the environment in which work is performed, and the resources available to the modeler such as time records, equipment lifespan data, etc. Two approaches to viewing work are commonly used: a work site approach and a work process approach. The work site approach focuses on a location and describes all the work that is done at that location. The work process approach focuses on Essay better writing uk a particular line of work and Write essay, describes how it is performed in multiple locations. The environment to Writing research paper, be studied includes dimensions such as the fiscal/budget situation, technological complexity of the work and equipment and review essay juliet, anticipated changes, and the rate of Webassign physics, change associated with the work performed. Stability of the work can make modeling easier than rapid changes, which usually require more frequent updates to the model or to the inputs to the model, such as task times. must comply with work rules and contend with a labor union. Although these differences may not affect what steps need to be taken to Write film review, develop a staffing model, they may affect how each step is implemented and what factors are taken into account. 7 More information on the Air Force approaches can be found at AFI 38-201 and AFMAN38-208 Volumes I and Someone to do homework degree, Volume II; Army Guidance includes Army Regulation 570-4 and Write, publications from the U.S. Army Manpower Analysis Agency; also see the Writing hypothesis paper current Total Army Analysis (TAA) process and MANPRINT. A critical question to ask is “Do stakeholders agree it is the right time to conduct a study?” A major consideration in answering it should be the level of effort, time, and resources required to complete a study in light of the outputs desired.

If the decision is to proceed with the study effort, a study scope and Write review, framework are established to guide collection of information needed to plan and conduct model development. Stakeholders should take the Someone homework time to carefully define and review study goals, scope, and milestones, as well as consider the potential limitations of the results. A number of multi-level considerations are relevant to review essay juliet, feasibility. Specifically, there appear to Advanced principles fischer 11th edition, be a number of potential cross-level interactions among individual training and higher-order factors such as location and distance. The committee believes that the model would probably benefit from exploring such nonlinear and cross-level interactions. A memorandum of agreement should be established between the modelers and essay juliet, the primary stakeholders that documents what the better uk modelers plan to do, what time frame they will do it in, what will be required of various stakeholders and the organization, and what output should be expected. A study announcement should be developed and shared with appropriate stakeholders, who may include management representatives from various functions and locations, job incumbents, union representatives, and others, to inform them of the effort and their responsibilities and to engage their support. Phase 2. Familiarization. In the familiarization phase, modelers learn about the work and the context in which it is performed. First, the development team should produce and verify either a detailed work site description, sometimes called a work breakdown structure (WBS), or a process-oriented description (POD), if the work process approach is being used.

A WBS is usually created by taking major work categories or components and breaking them down into smaller and Write review, smaller subcomponents. A POD is designed to document functions by inputs, process, and outputs, and then identify the subcomponents or details of these process elements. 8 The WBS or POD should contain a fairly complete description of the various tasks performed in the work sites because it forms the basis for to do homework the staffing model. Creating a useful and accurate WBS or POD at the right level of detail is one of the Write review essay most important outputs of this phase, as an accurate accounting of the activities that drive most of the worker effort is Webassign help login, directly related to the accuracy and value of the staffing model output. It is also helpful to create a statement of conditionsthat is, a description of the normal work environment and the operating challenges and unusual conditions faced by workers performing particular types of work in various locations.

9 Modelers also find it useful, if not essential, to capture an initial set of key baseline data, such as the film review present structure of the organization, the number of full-time equivalents (FTEs) funded and currently employed, the Essay better uk allocation of review essay, workers across the organization, and staffing information such as details about personnel accessions by location and specialty. Another component of this familiarization phase is the identification of potential workload factors (i.e., those factors that affect the hours of available labor for a work site) and the data sources in which information about Writing hypothesis research paper nursing each factor reside. Historical data related to the number of employees, time to review juliet, completion for to do degree various tasks, failures and outages, etc., can be useful for trend or regression analyses whose results can inform the Write film juliet model of staffing needs. If the organization does not maintain or does not usually collect data on some of these potential factors, it must consider how best to gather the information. 8 Unlike a classic WBS, the Air Force shift to a POD allows ready process mapping and to do homework degree, modeling, and Write juliet, may tie more directly with specified outputs of the activities, which in turn may potentially be more directly linked with performance measures. 9 It should be noted that U.S.

Air Force manpower studies, and their classic end product, an Air Force Manpower Standard (AFMS) include a statement of conditions. Login. For more information, see AF/A1MR (2011). Write Review Essay. required for accurate modeling and continue to maintain the data bases related to these factors. Examination of Essay writing, documents related to the job under study, such as official guidance, directives, standards, policies, performance measures, and transformation plans related to the organization, the work, or the equipment can also increase the Write essay modeler’s understanding of the job and of anticipated changes in the work. Phase 3. Measurement Design. In the measurement design 10 phase, the information gleaned from the Webassign physics feasibility and familiarization phases is used to determine a comprehensive study approach that includes the modeling tools, data inputs to the model, and the means to gather the data for the model. A critical question for the study team is how the data relevant to the modeling task will be gathered. For example, the team might use interviews of subject matter experts, a time study based on samples of work, or a by-location, by-work-element shift profile analysis. 11 Any combination of methods for collecting data may be used, but the approaches to collecting data need to film review essay, be clearly defined, preferably tested on a sample of the writing uk overall workforce, and then refined based upon review, the lessons learned in the test, prior to conducting full-scale data collection. In addition, the team must be aware of the potential impact on Homework online the people who provide the data of any intervention necessary for data collection, especially direct observations. Otherwise, the team may receive distorted information about the nature of ATSS work.

The measurement plan should define samples that are representative of the population and sufficient to make the types of Write juliet, statistical inferences necessary for modeling. When the job under study involves a large number of workers across many work locations, the modeler does not necessarily have to measure in detail the work of every person at hypothesis research nursing, every location; instead, a subset of workers and locations that represent adequately the overall population will be sufficient in most cases. The modeling effort needs to film essay juliet, include enough data points to hypothesis nursing, be representative of the various types of facilities, types of essay juliet, equipment and tasks, and work centers to be statistically significant. If the organization is investing in a model covering thousands of FTEs, a 90 percent confidence level or higher may be desired. At one extreme, a belief that 100 percent of a large population should be measured can incur excess costs and time that consume study resources. At the other extreme, only measuring a few locations or relying on a small input sample, in an effort to expedite the effort or save resources, is even more likely to produce an unrealistic model outputwith disastrous results if applied to the whole workforce. The quality of the job information gathered must be considered, and when data are deficient, steps must be taken to paper, improve the accuracy of the information to be used in the model. Several approaches to data verification exist. For example, multiple data collection teams can gather data and measure work performance at different sites.

If multiple teams are used to conduct measurement and data collection, the study team must provide guidance to standardize the methods for Write juliet data harvesting. If instead a “same eyes” approach is used, one team travels to all locations to collect data. Some modelers use a workshop or series of workshops facilitated by better, the study leads to collect data from subject matter experts. Film Essay Juliet. Often, the best approach is a combination of methods for systematically studying the tasks required in the job, the frequency with which the tasks are performed, and the corresponding number of person-hours needed to accomplish the college online tasks properly. 10 For more information, see U.S. Air Force (1995a, 2003). 11 Time studies, work sampling, elemental time, and other methods are not discussed in depth here but may be researched more in Introduction to Human Factors and Ergonomics for Engineers , Lehto and Write film review essay, Landry (2013), and other industrial engineering texts.

A measurement approach must be consistent with the later phases of to do homework degree, analysis and model selection. Consequently, the study team must anticipate the types of models to be explored, designed, and ultimately implemented. At times, the phases of the study process are iterative, so that the modelers must reconsider earlier decisions based on decisions made in later phases. Often, the limitations of available data and film juliet, the feasibility of Homework, collecting more robust data constrain the type of modeling possible; when accurate models are required, such constraints must be remedied with extensive data collection plans. However, costs are a relevant factor in most modeling projects, and the team, in conjunction with the organization’s management, must decide what approaches to data collection are affordable. They must also consider the financial implications of understaffing and overstaffing if the model’s validity is weakened by insufficient data collection. Phase 4. Measurement.

This phase involves the execution of the measurement plan created in Write review juliet, phase 3 and refined through testing. Data collected in this phase contribute to model selection and serve as the input to the selected model. Webassign Help Physics. The quality of the data collected significantly affects the Write film review essay juliet value of the model; thoughtful measurement can make or break the study. All data obtained in this phase must be consistent with the plans for the study and should be validated by examining the Advanced fischer 11th data for completeness, accuracy, and Write review essay, logical consistency. Phase 5. Analysis and Model Selection. The purpose of model development is to depict accurately the worker to Someone to do homework, workload relationship in order to Write review essay juliet, derive the number of workers required by function or discipline and by Essay writing uk, facility type. Often, correlation and regression techniques are employed to examine the data and determine the worker-workload relationship. Study experts frequently discover several subpopulations that should be grouped and then develop separate tools to portray the worker-workload relationships for each group.

In the case of the ATSS modeling challenge, the Write film review juliet five different types of facilities may be suitable for individual groupings. Physics Login. Alternatively, the five disciplines might form the basis for grouping. For example, a model for depicting Core/Large Airport requirements and a separate model for GNAS, or a model for Environmental and another for Communications, may produce more accurate results. Statistical tests of the relationship may be used to review, determine the sufficiency or best fit of the model equation. The end result should be an equation with a related set of statistical tools that the Essay writing organization can use to Write film review essay juliet, determine the staffing requirements. These tools are often used at the location level and then aggregated to obtain total system requirements. Homework Online Island Alumni. Ideally, algorithms produce a set of tables that indicate the correct number and skill mix for a work site to accomplish its mission sets. For example, the Air Force manpower management engineering process has built-in “Smart Sheets” that take workload factor data as input and produce electronic reports showing the number, skills, and Write essay juliet, grades of full-time workers required to match the Homework online trees alumni workload. Write Film Review Essay Juliet. The more transparent and homework degree, accessible for use the model is to Write review juliet, different levels of the Webassign physics login organization, the Write film review essay more likely the model is to be embraced by personnel at college homework online chat, those levels. However, access to film review, the model output may be limited, based on the user’s needs so as not to overwhelm the user with massive amounts of information that are not relevant to that user. Model design should also take into account the alumni model’s adaptability to changing conditions.

An effective model must accurately depict the film current worker-workload relationships, but the better writing uk better model also offers “scalability” so that the model can be easily updated as the film review work or the work environment change. For example, NextGen and the eventual removal of older equipment are expected to Advanced fischer 11th edition, have an. extensive effect on the work actually performed, as well as on the frequency with which many tasks are performed. Often a modular approach is Write film juliet, used so that the relevant components of the model can be updated without overhauling the entire model. Essay Better Uk. As with any other modeling effort, a sensitivity analysis would also be appropriate to Write review, assess how sensitive the model outputs are to changes in various input variables. Another component of model design is adherence to good human-systems integration (HSI) practices, including safety and human factors concerns. The model and its output should ensure that the staffing levels reflect what is necessary to protect workers’ health (U.S. Air Force, undated).

Often, the online island alumni model design phase includes validation and verification 12 elements, especially for highly complex models. A rigorous verification process in which predictions are compared to real-world situations of the review past for hypothesis which outcomes are known is begun at the same time the model is being developed. Data from the validation and verification effort can be used to refine the model or enhance the data inputs to it. Review Juliet. The verification, validation, and acceptance (VVA) processes used to improve the model and increase the organization’s confidence in it can take other forms. For example, qualified operations research or staffing model experts, teamed together with functional experts, can evaluate the assumptions, data quality, and modeling algorithms and point out opportunities for improvement. VVA activities should be practiced throughout the modeling effort, both before and after implementation. Other, more robust, formal VVA approaches may be useful and worthy of careful consideration; however, as Carson (2002) noted, “a model developer intermixes debugging, verification and Advanced accounting principles fischer, validation tasks and exercises with model development in a complex and iterative process it should also be noted that no model is film essay, ever 100% verified or validated.” The final determinant of the value of the model will be the Someone to do accuracy of the predictions regarding labor necessary to achieve the goals of the job class. This determination can be done retrospectively with past situations and prospectively after implementation. Write Film Review Essay. Phase 6. Implementation.

Implementation of a new staffing model can be complex and hypothesis paper, requires close attention to how the model is film essay juliet, introduced. How the Help with college homework online model is implemented will have an film essay effect on Someone homework degree the level of acceptance achieved throughout the organization. At some point, the recommended model must be presented to decision makers for approval for film juliet use. Revealing the “test” impact of the my geology model to management and review essay juliet, workers within a public-sector function with many diverse stakeholders can be challenging, as there will typically be perceived “gainers and losers” by location as the workforce is adjusted by the model results to match the work requirements. It will be useful to stakeholders to have an honest picture of the to do my geology degree future staffing levels derived from the model, as well as an explanation of how they were derived. Write Review Essay. Budgets also need to Webassign physics login, be adjusted before implementation, particularly when there are increases to the staffing levels. Budget for new personnel salaries as well as hiring and training costs must be allocated when increasing staffing levels. Write Review. When staffing levels decrease, the help physics login costs of reductions in force and redeployments must be factored into budgets. The committee had several discussions regarding how an effective model would look and how it could predict an Write review juliet effective number of ATSS personnel necessary for maintaining the NAS in a safe, efficient, and effective manner. These discussions did not focus on Webassign help physics a total number of Write film review juliet, ATSS personnel, but there was an understanding that, should the model generate a number greater than 6,100, the anticipated FAA budget would need to Help college homework chat, be quickly increased to avoid the.

12 Validation is the Write process of help physics, determining the review essay degree to which a model or simulation and its associated data are an accurate representation of the real world from the perspective of the intended uses of the model. Verification is the process of determining that a model or simulation implementation and its associated data accurately represent the developer’s conceptual description and specifications in DODI 5000.61 (Department of Defense, 2009). negative implications for better writing the safety and efficiency of the Write review juliet NAS. Homework. In that case, the FAA’s Air Traffic Organization would have to employ risk mitigation to compensate for review essay the less than sufficient staffing while the budget was approved and additional personnel were hired, trained, and assigned to the appropriate sites. Conclusion 3-1: Dedicated budget requirements for the ATSS are likely to better writing uk, result from application of any comprehensive manpower staffing model and will need to film, be addressed. Public announcements related to increases or decreases in Webassign login, head count must be crafted to help outsiders understand the situation and win the public’s approval. Often, examples of locations where the work is Write film juliet, radically different are persuasive in demonstrating how the local uniqueness was addressed. For example, higher levels of staffing in locations that experience special environmental conditions, such as corrosive salt water, extreme temperatures and accounting principles fischer, weather, or extended travel to service remote equipment may serve to demonstrate the sensitivity of the model.

13. Value of Write review essay juliet, a Logical, Comprehensive Design Process. Following a comprehensive design process that contains the Writing paper essence of the review essay six phases described above should greatly enhance the likelihood of creating an effective staffing model that enables the workforce to achieve the organization’s goals. Some of the to do my geology phases overlap, and ideally, study leaders intentionally look backward and forward in the process so that the end result is review juliet, logical, valid, and compliant with the stated purpose. In particular, data examination during the measurement and analysis phases may necessitate revised data collection procedures or additional research. Moreover, those who develop the model need to plan for future improvements to Someone homework, it as modeling methodology and data collection procedures evolve and as the FAA obtains greater understanding of the causes of film juliet, variability in the tasks performed by ATSS. Insights gained at any phase can redirect the study in unexpected ways; thus, the study team needs to be not only flexible but also seasoned in handling unexpected situations and understanding which approaches are most likely to be effective in a given situation.

Recommendation 3-1: The FAA should execute a modeling process that allows for future improvements in data modeling techniques and applicability. There are many other key model considerations that contribute to the success of modeling efforts. Accounting Edition. In this section, the committee reviews important considerations that will enhance the staffing model. Consider the Difference Between Workforce Required, Workforce Funded, and Workforce Filled. Staffing standards produced by film review, a given model are not identical to authorized or filled positions; required , funded , and filled are three different ways to describe the workforce and the numbers required. Staffing models may generate a fairly useful recommendation for defining a required workforce that is Advanced accounting principles 11th edition, often refined by Write juliet, highly knowledgeable staff and managers, who then must compete for necessary funding in a resource-constrained public sector environment. Thus, the writing uk required workforce is not the same as the. Film. 13 These conditions are termed as a “variance,” which is an college homework chat adjustment to film, the model for FTE time added or subtracted from the core requirements and is used and described in Air Force manpower requirements determination literature such as Air Force Manual 38-208, Volumes 1 and 2 (U.S. Air Force, 1995a, 2003). funded workforce.

FAA headquarters can create policy and routines to to do my geology degree, apply standards on an ongoing, cyclical basis for the creation of staffing plans and projections, and can also provide authorization (i.e., formal funding) and justification through planning, programming, budgeting, and execution covering the ATSS workforce positions. Once positions are recognized and funded, they in turn must be filled. Film Essay Juliet. However, a filled workforce is not entirely dependent on hiring. Other tools of the human resource life cycle (recruiting, development, sustainment, retirement, and so on) affect the better uk number of positions to be filled. 14 For example, a model could predict a requirement for 18 FTEs to perform communication systems maintenance in film review essay juliet, one location, while the principles 11th edition budget process may only authorize funds for 16 in that area, and there may be only 14 persons actually “on board” as filled positions.

However, a good staffing model will provide decision makers with information regarding the expected consequences of under- and over-staffing. If fewer positions than are needed are authorized, for example, the model may indicate that a maintenance backlog is likely to emerge or that the film review essay juliet risk of nonavailability of the NAS may increase. If more positions are authorized than are currently in the job, the hiring-training-development cycle needs to begin. Table 3-1 provides an better example of staffing in Write film essay, one location across the Essay better writing uk five skill sets and management. An advanced modeling system for a large enterprise may have both short term (1-2 years) and longer term (out to approximately 5 years) staffing requirements.

The difference between the two estimates provides forewarning to Write film essay juliet, the organization that changes in staffing levels are likely to occur. Paper. Proactive organizations build staffing-process ramps to Write film essay juliet, increase or decrease the number of individuals with the skills to match the current staffing needs that are determined by changing equipment, services, and budget realities. Once the organization determines the extent of Advanced fischer, change that is likely to occur, it must adapt other systems (recruiting, hiring, training, etc.) and acquire the necessary funding. 15. 14 These tools fall under the personnel and training domains of HSI and in themselves may require improved systems and their own respective modeling algorithms outside this discussion. Film Review Juliet. Examples are maintenance training throughput calculations and attrition/retirement/hiring estimating tools, among others.

15 Without straightforward and useful estimates of workload for the out-years, it is Advanced principles 11th, challenging to expect a model to Write review juliet, predict staffing needswith the exception of creating forecasts based on insightful trend data. Air Force manpower data systems usually show positions for multiple quarters/years out in the budget cycle, and Someone degree, future adjustments are often calculated based on known changes in quantity and Write film review essay juliet, type of weapon systems that will be present or approved as missions change. Consider the Difference Between an Allocation and online trees, a Sufficiency Model. The National Research Council conducted a study for film juliet FAA aviation safety inspectors in 2006 that had a charge similar to Someone to do my geology degree, that of the current study on ATSS staffing. Write Film Review Juliet. Many of the former committee’s considerations at that time are applicable to the current task.

Therefore, the present committee has quoted liberally from that prior report in Help college online, this section. The following passage, for example, is directly applicable to the current study, with a few word changes to apply it to ATSS staffing: 16 For example, the review juliet relationship to demand for meals served and the staffing of to do, a food service operation may be modeled simply as a straight line approximation of a factor of additional workers per incremental change in how many meals are required per Write film essay day. [M]odels, such as one for [ATSS] staffing, may be either allocation models or sufficiency models, or both. An allocation model is one aimed at distributing available resources equitably and effectively irrespective of their collective adequacy, whereas a sufficiency model is designed to predict the resources needed to sustain system performance at what is deemed an acceptable level. A sufficiency model is more difficult to develop. It requires the organization to Webassign help, make decisions about, and review juliet, set standards for, acceptable performance and to develop performance measures so that outcomes can be evaluated against those standards (i.e., it can be empirically validated). [B]y providing an estimate of the resources necessary to meet policy and safety goals, a sufficiency model can be the most rigorous way to determine staffing needs and to homework degree, support budget requests for [ATSS] positions. [D]espite the distinction between sufficiency and allocation roles, we think that an [ATSS] staffing model should serve both functions. That is, it should be able to estimate aggregate staffing demand, provide predictions regarding the consequences of film review essay juliet, alternative levels of staffing, and help guide the allocation of resources across functions, regions, and offices. (National Research Council, 2006:32, 39, 40) Consider the Essential Features of the Situation to Be Modeled. “[T]he more faithfully a model captures the essential features of its real-world counterpart, the better able it may be to fulfill its intended function” (National Research Council, 2006:30). A powerful example used elsewhere in government, by the U.S. Air Force, is the model employed to understand, predict, budget, and allocate aircraft maintenance manpower.

Mathematical representations of aircraft maintenance processes, repair networks, and accounting fischer edition, component failure rates allow analysts to study enormous amounts of data and apply that data to predict with reasonable accuracy, for example, the number of Air Force maintenance personnel required to service and support a wing of fighter aircraft in order to provide a specified desired sortie generation rate. This predictive power is review juliet, bounded, of course, by access to Essay better writing, the necessary data and by changes within the system that require updating within the model. Models typically represent the relationship of variables through algorithms and juliet, equations that may vary in complexity and formalization. 16 Estimating the ATSS staffing needs will require computational power and methods that can capture the complexity of the job demands and generate system-wide estimates. Consider Whether the Model Should Be Descriptive or Predictive.

The 2006 report on Aviation Safety Inspector staffing contains a good explanation of whether a model should be descriptive or predictive. That account is quoted here with additional wording for clarification and application to ATSS staffing: [M]odels are generally characterized as either descriptive or predictive. Fischer. Descriptive models typically document the structure and processes of a system, but they do not add a computational component to enable predictions about essay juliet system behavior as a function of system design. An information flow diagram for a business process is an example of a simple descriptive model. [It shows] the steps, decisions, and outputs of a process, but alone does not offer insight in homework online, terms of the capacity or throughput of the system. Predictive models (like the [maintenance manpower] model) include such a component; hence they do enable prediction. In this project we have focused on predictive models because our charge is to articulate methods for determining the appropriate numbers and types of [Airway Transportation Systems Specialists] as a function of the factors that drive the demand for their services. Unless a staffing model can predict with some level of precision how well the [maintenance and film review essay juliet, service providing] system will perform given the need structure, it would be impossible to estimate appropriate staffing levels [objectively]. (National Research Council, 2006:30) Consider Whether the Help college homework online chat Model Should Contain Stochastic or Deterministic Elements. Models can also be stochastic or deterministic.

17 The 2006 report includes an in-depth treatment of this subject. Stochastic models, a prominent form of which is the Monte Carlo simulation model, attempt to take into account the unpredictable elements of system behavior, whereas deterministic ones do not. For example, [the repair frequencies and time required for Write film essay each repair of various national airspace subsystems] cannot be predicted with 100 percent accuracy even under optimal circumstances because of unknown factors. (National Research Council, 2006:30-31) Almost every system has some elements of uncertainty in it, so the question is online island alumni, not whether variability exists but rather how important it is to the system behavior that the model is designed to predict. If ignoring the film essay variable nature of the system is likely to Someone homework, lead to inaccurate predictions or, equally important, a failure to recognize potential staffing risks, then stochastic modeling techniques should be [considered]. However, if the variability is not likely to [significantly] affect model predictions, or the variability is small and unimportant, a deterministic modelone that [minimizes treatment of] the stochastic properties of the systemshould suffice. (National Research Council, 2006:31) These unpredictable elements include an array of factors such as the reliability of individual components within each device, employee illness, weather, corrosion, and ease of Write review, access affecting the time required to complete tasks. Equipment failures are inherently stochastic. Advanced Principles Fischer 11th. The staffing required “on average” may differ significantly from that necessary when multiple failures occur. A stochastic model provides insights on the risks associated with low probability events that may have significant consequences and potentially high costs. A deterministic approach to modeling will typically produce the Write film juliet same results for FTEs needed when the same coefficients or work counts are used, because probability or variation is either not addressed or removed intentionally through the use of averaged process times.

A deterministic approach may involve many input variables, but in with college, simple terms can be represented as an equation where the FTE requirement y is a function of multiple inputs x 1 , x 2 , , x n . A potential risk of deterministic models is that they predict staffing demand based upon mean values (i.e., average conditions), rather than recognizing that staffing demand per Write review juliet shift may be significantly greater (or less) than average values due to stochastic factors such as multiple failures. 17 A deterministic model is a function of multiple inputs such as the type of equipment and the nature of the task to Essay writing uk, be performed. Law and Kelton (2000) provides fundamentals on how to go about addressing many stochastic situations and incorporating them into review essay juliet practical model designs. The committee that wrote the 2006 staffing report noted that a deterministic model can provide sufficient predictive power to yield “fairly straightforward answers to Homework online alumni, a number of key staffing questions.” While the complexity and cost of a stochastic model can be high, it is important to incorporate some stochastic elements that more accurately reflect reality. Juliet. “It is physics, important to recognize that both the stochastic model and the deterministic model can produce useful expected values for an outcome” (National Research Council, 2006:31, footnote). Thus, to address the immediate concerns of ATSS staffing, the creation of an initial series of deterministic algorithms should be followed by development of Write film review, robust simulations and queuing models to fully assess stochastic elements of the ATSS job. Stochastic models provide a better notion of the potential staffing risk associated with unusual events, such as multiple failures.

In the ATSS staffing situation, stochastic modeling may incorporate, for example, the probability that the appropriate number of ATSS specialists will be available to meet the demands of required maintenance, because it will take into account queuing issues (e.g., surges and Advanced principles fischer edition, unscheduled multiple maintenance demands) and the stochastic nature of factors driving the Write film essay juliet need for services or repairs. 18 Hecht and Handal previously developed and demonstrated a prototype model they called SMART 4, which explored relationships between maintenance staffing, mean time between outages, mean time to hypothesis research paper, restore, facilities, and other key ratios (Hecht and Handal, 2001; Hecht et al., 1998, 2000). Hecht and Handal’s pioneering work may be a good starting point for bridging from standard deterministic models (such as ratio unit time equations per equipment or service and evolving support) and stand-alone powerful modeling and simulation tools for NAS resource allocation analysis. They also noted that these powerful simulation tools have been possible to create for Write some time, but their practical application has been bounded by the cost and complexity of implementation (Hecht et al., 2000). Writing Hypothesis. The ideal model for computing ATSS would likely contain both deterministic and stochastic features. Film Review Juliet. Consider the Critical Data Required for Analysis or That Drive Workforce Demand. The 2006 report on aviation safety inspector staffing explained the data required for analysis or for driving workforce demand; that explanation is reproduced here with added wording where applicable: [T]he distinction between the hypothesis research nursing underlying predictive model and the data needed to film essay, make predictions using the model is critical. A model is created on the basis of the inherent properties of the system that drive its behavior.

In the case of the aviation safety inspection system [maintaining the help login integrity of the Write film NAS systems and services,] this includes factors that drive demand for [ATSS] resources and how these [ATSS] resources are deployed in response to that demand. However, even if these relationships are understood and well represented in a quantitative model, the Writing hypothesis research paper nursing model is worthless without the data that enable meaningful and realistic predictions. (National Research Council, 2006:32) Modeling the relationship between staffing levels and the number and film review, type of Help college chat, equipment maintenance needs in the NAS by region requires collecting data by region. Without a reliable baseline count and ongoing accounting or data systems that contain this information, there is no practical way to create such a model. Review Juliet. Because modeling and Writing hypothesis research nursing, data collection are interdependent, the cost of developing and sustaining data collection systems to feed into modeling must be considered. This is not to say that only “easy to collect” data should be used in the model. Key data that have not been readily available in the past should not be ignored, and methods to gather these data in a straightforward, economical manner should be developed. Too often, analysts have created an interesting but impractical manpower determination tool because of difficulty in routinely gathering the data required for film juliet the model’s input. 18 For a primer on stochastic modeling and simulation concepts relevant to Advanced accounting, the ATSS maintenance environment, see Beichelt and film review juliet, Tittman (2012:Section III). variables.

As noted above, a critical step in Help with college online, the model development process is Write film review, determining the source of input data and verifying its reliability. Consider Task Duration and Data Validity Issues 19. The utility of a model depends on the data used to populate the model as well as the structure of the model itself. Validity is defined as the extent to which a measure represents the construct being measured. If the data are not valid, then the predictions of the model will be invalid. For example, a valid measure of the time that Task X will take for completion, will be one that is accurate. Advanced Accounting Principles Fischer 11th Edition. If task duration estimates are based on workers who have not fully learned the task or conditions that do not represent the normal environment in which the task is performed, then the Write film review time estimates will not be valid measures of the time for completion under usual conditions.

However, such measures may be valid measures of the uk time to complete a task under those unusual conditions. Another confounding factor in Write juliet, making accurate estimates in task time completion is the bias in physics login, human judgments. Unless time estimations are made by a third party, the Write film juliet judgments may be consciously or unconsciously skewed. For example, a tedious task may be perceived by a subject matter expert to have taken longer than it actually did. Alternatively, a subject matter expert who likes to take his/her time in completing certain types of tasks may indicate a longer time than necessary to ensure the Homework island trees alumni work can be completed at the preferred pace. The validity of film review essay, a measure is limited by its reliability, that is, the extent to Advanced accounting fischer 11th edition, which a measure is free from error and repeated measurements of the same entity (e.g., the same task, event, or object) yield similar values. If the reliability is low, then so is the validity. If the film essay juliet duration of task i is highly variable, a measure of duration based on to do my geology homework degree the mean will have a large standard deviation. While the measure may be reliable, it may not be an accurate estimate of task duration in all situations. The actual time for task i could be almost constant, but the measurement process (such as relying on Write review juliet subject matter experts’ estimates) may be error-prone and thus unreliable.

Measurement reliability can be improved by using better methods of data collection; the inherent variability of the Writing hypothesis research nursing task itself is best dealt with by using stochastic models rather than deterministic models. The other issue in collecting and Write film review essay juliet, using duration data is that of granularity. Help Physics. For example, the duration of an off-site maintenance task will be composed of at least two components: travel time and review essay juliet, core task completion time. These two components will be affected by different variables, that is, travel distance, terrain, weather, and traffic for travel time; task complexity and ATSS personnel competence level for core task time. If the two subtasks are separated, simpler models can be built for each.

Times for completion of the component tasks can be added to obtain the total time for the off-site task. This task decomposition can be taken to lower and lower levels, eventually ending at the element level of predetermined motion-time systems. Synthetic time estimates for new tasks can be computed by aggregating the known times for each element in the task. There are three means of Homework online island, collecting data on task duration, each with different levels of review, reliability, validity, usefulness, and simplicity of use. 1. Subject Matter Expert Estimates.

Asking supervisors or incumbents to paper, estimate durations of tasks that they have performed in the past is simple and essay juliet, low-cost but generally quite unreliable. Human memory and judgment suffer from well-known biases (Kahneman et al., 1982) that potentially affect. 19 For more information, see Kahneman et al. (1982) and Bisantz and Drury (2004). both reliability and validity of such estimates. Emerging technologies such as mobile devices and other electronic tracking devices may provide ways of obtaining more accurate time estimates in the future. 2. Historical Data. There are existing data bases such as the Remote Monitoring and Help with homework, Logging System and the Labor Distribution Reporting system that capture actual times for task completion contemporaneously and appear to have some relevance for estimating task durations. The data in these data bases were collected for different purposes (Bisantz and Drury, 2004), and so applying them to duration estimation for staffing models may not be reliable. Time information may not be recorded immediately, but at a later time when memory errors become significant.

Typically such data bases only record total task duration rather than more meaningful and useful components as noted above. To improve the confidence in Write review essay juliet, historical data or in subject matter experts’ judgments, their accuracy may be verified by performing checks such as stopwatch measurement of task duration on a sample of the data. 3. Webassign Physics. Direct Time Study. Write. A third approach is to observe directly the performance of the task and its components and record their durations. Time studies are an expensive proposition if a large amount of hypothesis research paper, data is required, but the results generally have high reliability and validity. Review Essay Juliet. Best practices for conducting such time studies cover factors such as how many tasks to time, what degree of component decomposition to use, and how to select tasks and operators for observation and timing. If tasks change appreciably from time to time and trees, situation to situation, then overall task durations will also change, requiring additional data collection and associated expense. If task components are measured and only a few components of the task change, costs can be reduced by only remeasuring that portion of the Write film review juliet task that has changed.

Variances: Consider the Model’s Ability to Customize FTE Needs for Special Situations. The term “variance” is used here in the sense of deviation, not in the statistical sense of a measure of variability of Advanced edition, a distribution. Variances adjust core requirements either by increasing (positive variance) or decreasing (negative variance) earned FTE increments at review, specified location(s) or situations due to unique mission or environmental differences. Many models are often created to predict the average FTE requirement per various levels of workload demanded. Such models thus seek to capture the manpower required to do work that is common to all applicable locations. However, in actual work settings, certain processes or work activities are frequently not performed at all locations. Moreover, operational conditions at a location are not always the “average” conditions depicted within the model. If relevant and significant, these conditions can be addressed through calculation of positive or negative variances for the given location and situation. For instance, a mission variance can add or subtract hours for location-specific required work that is not addressed in the work site description (a positive variance) or work identified in the work site descriptions but not performed (a negative variance). These differences in Advanced accounting 11th, work should be documented, evaluated, and approved at appropriate level(s) as a matter of policy, not just through a local team leader’s preference. An environmental variance adjusts hours for required tasks that are addressed in a work site description but are affected by essay juliet, environmental differences among locations (i.e., mountainous territory or snow).

The need for environmental variances in NAS maintenance may be based on challenges related to snow removal, need for de-icing of equipment, effects of a marine/salty environment on better writing required corrosion control activities, effects of geographical separation on travel times, presence of remote versus on-site equipment or service monitoring capability, etc. For example, Technical Operations locations that maintain “inside the fence” systems may earn a normalized FTE requirement for the equipment maintenance. tasks, while locations that maintain similar equipment at remote sites may receive a positive environment variance. In such circumstances, a “calculator” may be built into the model to film review essay juliet, compute the variance for travel time based upon number of Help with college homework, times the team must go to the remote site. Write Film Review Juliet. It is Essay better writing, usually not cost-effective to pursue and document variances that drive small adjustments. When building staffing models for small organizations, a half-FTE change may be worth documenting; however, for large organizations, the study team may establish a larger FTE value threshold for including variances in the model. Consider Various Components of Total Staff Time. Ideally, any advanced modeling effort needs to film review juliet, address various components of total staff time, including direct productive time, indirect productive time, nonallowed time, nonavailable time, and on-call time and other work situations (U.S. Air Force, 1995a:53-58).

Productive time is time workers spend doing work that is Homework online trees, essential to achieve their mission. There are two categories of productive work activities: direct work and film juliet, indirect work. Direct work activities are required by guidance, technical orders, or directives; are essential to and directly support the work site’s mission; and can be identified with a particular service or end product. Direct work activities are considered productive work that must be accomplished as part of the with college homework online chat organization’s primary mission. The time required for Write film juliet direct work tasks should be documented by task, whereas indirect work may be quantified either through similar means or by Essay better uk, applying a previously computed and agreed upon indirect allowance factor to the total direct hours. 20. In contrast, indirect work consists of necessary but supporting activities.

Indirect work is film essay juliet, performed in support of the function, does not add value to a particular end product, and may not be readily identifiable with a specific output or service. Common examples of indirect work include participating in human resource activities, giving management direction, preparing reports for higher level review, attending meetings, and housekeeping activities. If indirect work is not measured independently, then the analysts need to Writing hypothesis research nursing, create an allowance factor and apply that factor as part of the model algorithm by crediting the measured hours of direct work with a percentage increase based on the indirect allowance factor. The design of measures of critical data such as time to complete tasks and Write film review juliet, the careful collection of that must neither omit measurement of some kinds of accounting principles fischer, data nor double count them. In particular, work dimensions such as travel, training, and supervisory tasks need to be carefully and consistently accounted for to ensure inclusion without double or triple counting.

For example, if the enterprise-wide mean travel time associated with preventive maintenance of Write review, a specific type of with college homework online chat, navigational aid were credited to Write essay, the task “maintains navigational aid type X” and Essay uk, included in the total average direct process time, then travel for such activities should not be re-counted as a separate indirect activity. Write Film Essay Juliet. As discussed above, substantial location-specific deviations from the mean travel time could potentially be computed as a positive or negative environmental variance. Similarly, the model should not credit travel at each subcomponent of the principles fischer 11th task “maintains navigational aid type X” because the travel occurred only one time. Nor should travel be counted for all tasks performed when a worker made only one trip but performed preventive maintenance checks on all of the review essay juliet equipment at the remote location. 20 U.S. Air Force requirements determination analysts sometimes choose not to perform indirect task measurement for with college online every function, as the Air Force has created separate standard indirect allowance task descriptions and factors (U.S. Air Force, 2011). Film Review. Nonavailable time is time that is directed and approved by management. During this time, the worker is not available to perform direct or indirect productive tasks. Examples of nonavailable time include approved leave, medical appointments, additional, directed duties such as serving as a voting liaison or office security officer, and time spent in approved education and training.

To determine a realistic FTE staffing requirement, nonavailable time must be factored into the algorithms for the staffing model. When accounting for nonmandatory leaves such as annual leave or medical leave in a staffing model, the online island trees alumni actual documented use of leave and not the maximum days allowed should be used; otherwise, the model results may be artificially inflated. Allowances for days off, holidays, leave, and medical absences need to be decided on essay juliet and approved (U.S. Air Force, 1995a). The original FAA modeling efforts dating from the 1980s and 1990s took many of these into account, and Order 1380.40C documents the accounting principles fischer edition treatment of the different dimensions (FAA, 1992). Categories of Write review, allowable time, such as Labor Distribution Reporting (006), Watch Schedules (031), Working Hours (032-036), Holidays (038), Annual Leave (040), Sick Leave (041), Family and Someone degree, Medical Leave (043), Leave for Special Circumstances (044-045), and other such factors are specifically defined in the current labor agreement between the Professional Aviation Safety Specialists (PASS) and the FAA, signed on December 16, 2012 (Professional Aviation Safety Specialists, 2012). Other considerations such as allowed time for meals, breaks, and rest should be considered and carefully defined. Write Film Essay. It should be noted that some of the variances in allowances will be stochastic.

Personal, fatigue, and delay (PFD) factors may be incorporated into a staffing model to account for necessary breaks, trips to the restroom, or other realistic and valid activities. 21 PFD factors may be considered in individual task measurement times or accommodated elsewhere. On-call Time and Other Work Situations. On-call time is a period of time when an off-duty worker is available for work at a specified off-duty location and can be reached by telephone or other means. When authorized work is required and cannot be deferred to the next shift or work day, a work measurement effort should credit the work site with productive time expended and the travel time needed to get to the job site and return to the off-duty location. Off-duty time spent waiting for a call is not usually measured or accommodated in a model (U.S. Air Force, 1995a). However, because the FAA agreement with PASS regarding ATSS personnel contains a provision for Compensated Telephone Availability, such time should be considered in island, the model design process to optimize shift schedule requirements for Write review juliet meeting peak outages or demands (Professional Aviation Safety Specialists, 2012).

Often, the term “standby time” is used to explain the time a worker is awaiting work. 11th. For example, people who monitor equipment systems may have substantial standby time waiting to repair equipment when it breaks. A study team can measure and include standby time in Write film review, a model when such duty is Writing hypothesis, required and no other productive work (direct or indirect) can be accomplished. Workers who are loaned to perform another function’s tasks should generally not be accounted for Write juliet or included in a model for their own function. 21 For more information, see Lehto and Landry (2013).

Consider Incorporating Shift Profile Analysis into the Model Development Approach and fischer edition, Model Application Tools. Maintaining equipment and providing services for a robust and safe NAS can require ATSS workers to be at work, available, or on call for long periods of a day. Coverage of the NAS components 24 hours a day, 7 days a week is not uncommon in many locations. Film Essay. Normal work hours in a traditional week schedule are 8.5 hours per day, including a meal break, for 5 days each week, with exceptions for Homework island trees alternate work schedules such as 10 hours per day for 4 days a week, or for overtime and Compensated Telephone Availability. Essay Juliet. In addition, workers are not always available for their entire scheduled shift. Activities such as annual leave, sick leave, military leave, training, and paper, travel to remote sites all result in compensated workers who are not available to perform the tasks assigned to them during their shift. Juliet. A careful analysis of the principles 11th edition shift scheduling and the work performed during shift can help optimize the total system workforce requirements for an organization. For example, the review juliet Air Force uses shift profile analysis to determine the Writing paper nursing amount of time its maintenance workers are available for Write film direct work.

Consider Potential Indicators of Staffing Sufficiency Issues Before and After Model Implementation. Seasoned work analysts often check three indicators of staffing sufficiency: (1) use of overtime, (2) level of work site backlog, and (3) use of shortcuts to accomplish work. Examination of data in Essay writing uk, each of these areas can help to reveal the extent of understaffing or overstaffing. Use of Overtime. Overtime can be useful for addressing greater needs for personnel due to peak work demands or temporary loss of personnel. Film Review Essay. However, excess use of overtime (or of to do my geology degree, borrowed workers from other organizations and contract workers) may indicate that the Write film essay juliet threshold staffing levels or shift schedule designs are not optimal within a work site. Steady use of large amounts of overtime can signal shortfalls in hypothesis research paper nursing, available “regular shift” FTEs, either from inaccurate staff targets, poor allocation, or inadequate fill action. Review Essay. In addition, high overtime utilization may indicate less than ideal management practices, which may lead to fatigue or vigilance problems not conducive to high levels of job performance nor ultimately to fischer edition, effective maintenance of the safety of the NAS. Essay. 22.

Work Backlogs. For many organizations, work backlog, work “in the queue,” or work in progress is entirely acceptable, desirable, and logical. For the ATSS enterprise, it appears logical that periodic maintenance inspections and paper, preventive maintenance activities would be pending for some period of time, but not necessarily postponed for an extended time. Presumably, the longer the film review juliet period of time these activities are deferred beyond some limit, the higher the inherent risk to the NAS. Essay Better Writing Uk. Some work associated with almost any activity can be deferred, but work deferred indefinitely can be a sign of insufficient resources to meet the film review work demands. Someone To Do Degree. An important question for modelers to explore is whether or not the backlogs are reasonable and growing or decreasing over time, and why (Ouvreloeil, 2001). Backlogs of work are not always attributable to Write review essay juliet, staffing deficits. Physics. Many modern inventory control practices have, to a significant extent, reduced or removed the presence of large inventories of spare components. Essay. Some maintenance delays may be attributed to the unavailability of parts, not the unavailability of skilled ATSS workers to perform the work. Someone To Do My Geology Homework. The Air Force, for example, tracks metrics associated with the nonavailability of parts in order to analyze and improve logistics for aircraft maintenance processes (U.S.

Air Force, 2009). 22 For more information on overtime considerations, see Capshaw (2011). Use of Shortcuts. The FAA operates within a formal Safety Management System that has available an array of essay, tools and resources to help login, prevent, identify, and analyze risk, including risk management through maintenance policy and procedure changes (FAA, 2007a). Write Essay. Nevertheless, on-scene work measurement or expert workshop review of principles edition, tasks and times for many other maintenance-related fields have shown that a work site may occasionally employ shortcuts or deviations from standard practices that are not permitted or described in technical guidance in order to provide a service or maintain the required systems. Employing these shortcuts could be a valid innovation if properly studied and approved, but may unfortunately create a hidden level of risk within the film essay system and long-term negative effects overall. Someone Homework Degree. In the film review essay juliet modeling arena, if the time required for procedures officially documented in help physics login, the Technical Operations guidance is accurately measured, but in practice the work site operates differently from the guidance for whatever reasons, the Write juliet time estimates are likely to be inaccurate. If these deviations are useful and should be approved, then the guidance should be revised after safety and effectiveness have been reviewed. The underlying rationale for the use of Webassign physics login, shortcuts may, however, relate to perceptions of time pressure, poor training, or a lack of essay, updated guidance. Someone My Geology Homework. Regardless of the reason, deviations from standard practices should be examined and appropriate steps taken. The 2006 study of Aviation Safety Inspector staffing identified five important quality factors related to predictive models: relevance, scalability, transparency, usability, and validity (National Research Council, 2006).

Box 3-1 defines these five factors, which were used by the current committee as criteria when reviewing the essay juliet FAA’s current and Someone to do degree, planned modeling efforts for ATSS personnel. The 2006 report emphasized the Write review importance of validity in assessing the value of Advanced 11th edition, a model: Validity is the final and, in many respects, the most critical feature. The extent to which the predictions of the model correspond to the actual, real-world outcomes constitutes its validity. Indeed, the most powerful means of evaluating a model’s worththe ultimate proof of the puddingis the direct comparison of predicted with observed outcome (criterion) measures when such measures are obtainable. It is often the case that the ultimate criterion (i.e., [NAS] safety) is not directly measurable in any practical sense, so the model’s predictive validity must be estimated against Write essay juliet surrogate criterion measures. (National Research Council, 2006:33) The prediction of fischer, outcomes associated with alternative levels of staffing is a necessary condition for the model to be testable and Write film review, its validity assessed. A model that makes no actual or implicit predictions cannot be properly validated in the scientific sense. All of the five qualities described above should be considered in the evaluation or development of an ATSS staffing model. They apply equally to physics, models that the FAA has used or is using as well as to any future modeling effort it may undertake. (National Research Council, 2006:34) A starting point for developing or assessing a staffing model is to Write review juliet, review the nature of the work, the environment under which the work is conducted, and the manner in which the work is accomplished. The committee’s assessment of the work and the environment suggested that a viable staffing model for ATSS should.

Relevance capture right level of detail. Relevance concerns the extent to which the model addresses the important portions of the issues for which it is designed and, equally important, the extent to Someone homework, which it excludes extraneous or marginally relevant issues or data. Write Review Essay. Does the model capture all of the important ATSS workload drivers? Does it operate at the right level of homework degree, detail? Scalability usefulness for Write film aggregation at higher levels, or predicting ATSS staffing needs by type of organization/facility, division or geographical region, or by required skill or discipline? Transparency ease of understanding, or the extent to which the model can be explained and understood by users of the Homework online trees model and Write juliet, those affected by decisions based on online chat model implementation. Usability ease with which the model can be implemented and enhanced to make the juliet predictions for which it was designed.

Does it have an interface that is sufficiently intuitive to enable the model users to enter data efficiently and help physics login, accurately? Is it appropriate to the skills and preferences of the intended users? Are the results presented in ways that support decision making? Can the model easily be updated to reflect changes in the ATSS work requirements and film review essay, environment or changes in FAA policy? Validity predictions match actual real-world needs (should be tested in various stages, first, with initial model selection, then through VVA process). SOURCE: Committee’s definitions, adapted from National Research Council (2006:33). • capture the Advanced principles 11th full extent of the NAS, the geographic diversity across facilities, and the staffing implications of travel time for equipment in remote areas; • clearly distinguish and quantify domain disciplines required in achieving workload demand; and. • include performance measures or outcomes, both final (ultimate) and intermediate, in Write film review essay, order to provide predictions regarding the outcomes of a given staffing plan. Advanced. A staffing model for review juliet ATSS should be “sufficient” in that it estimates staffing necessary to accomplish a given workload and is not simply a model that allocates a predetermined level of staffing across work sites.

Moreover, because the hypothesis research nursing nature of the workload itselfrepairing equipment that failshas an inherent stochastic component, serious consideration should be given to film review essay juliet, developing a stochastic staffing model. Help Homework Chat. Furthermore, the model should be able to predict consequences associated with staffing at various levels, and film juliet, these predicted outcomes should closely relate to what is actually observed at Webassign help physics, actual staffing levels. Chapter 3 has discussed the potential criteria for model evaluation. Chapter 4 will review the past and present FAA models used for the ATSS workers and examine how these models compare to some of the modeling philosophies that this chapter has explained. It also provides further recommendations that incorporate considerations introduced in this chapter. Drawing on the previous discussion of the ingredients for successful modeling (i.e., a logical design process, key model considerations, and vigilance in seeking to Write review essay, attain the five quality factors), the committee created a checklist or set of research, criteria, shown in Box 3-2, with which to evaluate past models, models in progress, and other potential modeling approaches for film review juliet the ATSS workforce. This checklist is intended as an aid to a modeler considering the criteria to use when designing a model for ATSS employees of the FAA. Potential Criteria for Model Evaluation. Area 1. Alumni. Logical Design Process. o Measurement Designcomprehensive plan with steps documenting study approaches, objectives, means to gather and interpret the data, well-considered sample sizes and sites, amount of information to be harvested, with testing and refinement elements included.

o Data Type/Sourceslogging and tracking of data such as equipment serviced, task, frequency, duration, outages, availability, reliability (per ATSS reporting); requirements for task performance (per specifications in rules and manuals); hours, overtime, shift; travel; allowances (per human resources data systems) o Data Collection Issuesmethods (e.g., use of existing or subject matter experts’ estimates, historic data, or data from film review essay juliet conducting direct time study), availability of necessary data, cost and ease of Homework online trees, data collection, level of rigor in the data (e.g., viability, utility, standardization of organizational data), amount of data to Write film review essay juliet, collect. Edition. o Analysis/Model Development and Selectionbuilding person-hour to workload relationships that are statistically valid and useful, creating electronic workbooks and Web systems to use and feed various reports. o Implementation/Maintenanceinclude model utilization in policy documents, incorporate into budget cycle, refine Web platform, continuous cycle for update, addition of new products/services and film review essay, retirement of legacy elements, etc. o Model verification, validation, and acceptance procedures defined and carried out. • Stakeholder input (adequate consideration of factors from Chapter 2 should be evident) Area 2. Structural Detail of Model. o Deterministic and/or stochastic components. o Based upon documenting an accurate foundational work site description, or a process-oriented description, of work tasks. o Documents standard and unique work conditions and environment components to allow for variances to normal situation in terms of additives, exclusions, deviations based upon mission, environment, or technological differences. o Modular features for ease of update/inclusion of NextGen and legacy system changes. o Direct and indirect tasks captured and considered. o Allowances and Nonavailable TimePersonal, Fatigue, Delay, Sick, Leave, Holidays, etc. o Treatment of Homework online island trees, travelwithout double counting. Write Film Review Essay. o Standby Timethoughtful capture and analysis. Degree. o Fixed requirements such as specifications and/or dictated crew size (e.g., usually safety-driven, as in the “two person” rule) o Detail of shift analysis and post staffing, to include treatment of peaks to handle contingency-based work, risk, identification of standby time, along with review of flexibility to do training and deferrable tasks within the film standby. o Estimates needed for Someone homework degree entire workforce or subcategories; types of organization, skills, and totals by location, facility, or other category. o Not only gross FTE estimates but also ability to predict workforce needs by skill area. Area 3. Quality Factors. Review Essay. Area 4. Performance. • Estimate expected availability rate as function of staffing. • Estimate the cost of various levels of service or risk. • Estimate changes in levels of service and consequence. • Review and address these three issues: • Examine NAS redundancies. • Link to the agency’s performance metrics. 500 Fifth St., NW | Washington, DC 20001. Within the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the Airway Transportation System Specialists ATSS) maintain and certify the equipment in the National Airspace System (NAS).In fiscal year 2012, Technical Operations had a budget of $1.7B.

Thus, Technical Operations includes approximately 19 percent of the with homework online chat total FAA employees and less than 12 percent of the $15.9 billion total FAA budget. Technical Operations comprises ATSS workers at five different types of Air Traffic Control (ATC) facilities: (1) Air Route Traffic Control Centers, also known as En Route Centers, track aircraft once they travel beyond the terminal airspace and reach cruising altitude; they include Service Operations Centers that coordinate work and monitor equipment. (2) Terminal Radar Approach Control (TRACON) facilities control air traffic as aircraft ascend from and descend to film review essay, airports, generally covering a radius of physics, about 40 miles around the primary airport; a TRACON facility also includes a Service Operations Center. (3) Core Airports, also called Operational Evolution Partnership airports, are the nation's busiest airports. (4) The General National Airspace System (GNAS) includes the facilities located outside the Write film juliet larger airport locations, including rural airports and equipment not based at any airport. (5) Operations Control Centers are the facilities that coordinate maintenance work and college homework online chat, monitor equipment for a Service Area in the United States. At each facility, the Write essay juliet ATSS execute both tasks that are scheduled and predictable and tasks that are stochastic and unpredictable in. These tasks are common across the five ATSS disciplines: (1) Communications, maintaining the systems that allow air traffic controllers and pilots to be in contact throughout the my geology homework degree flight; (2) Surveillance and Radar, maintaining the systems that allow air traffic controllers to see the Write essay juliet specific locations of Someone to do homework degree, all the aircraft in the airspace they are monitoring; (3) Automation, maintaining the Write review systems that allow air traffic controllers to track each aircraft's current and future position, speed, and altitude; (4) Navigation, maintaining the systems that allow pilots to Homework online island alumni, take off, maintain their course, approach, and land their aircraft; and (5) Environmental, maintaining the power, lighting, and heating/air conditioning systems at the ATC facilities. Because the film juliet NAS needs to be available and reliable all the time, each of the different equipment systems includes redundancy so an outage can be fixed without disrupting the NAS.

Assessment of Staffing Needs of Systems Specialists in Aviation reviews the available information on: (A) the duties of employees in job series 2101 (Airways Transportation Systems Specialist) in the Technical Operations service unit; (B) the Professional Aviation Safety Specialists (PASS) union of the AFL-CIO; (C) the present-day staffing models employed by the FAA; (D) any materials already produced by the FAA including a recent gap analysis on staffing requirements; (E) current research on best staffing models for Essay better writing uk safety; and film review essay juliet, (F) non-US staffing standards for employees in similar roles. Front Matter i–xvi Summary 1–10 1 Background and Overview 11–18 2 Work Environment Considerations for Airway Transportation Systems Specialists 19–40 3 Considerations in Creating a Staffing Model 41–63 4 FAA Approaches to Estimating Staffing of Airway Transportation Systems Specialists 64–78 5 Implementation and writing, Sustainability of the Staffing Model 79–86 References 87–90 Appendixes 91–92 Appendix A: Committee Biographies 93–95 Appendix B: Open Session Speakers 96–98. You're looking at OpenBook, NAP.edu's online reading room since 1999. Write Film Review Juliet. Based on feedback from you, our users, we've made some improvements that make it easier than ever to Advanced principles, read thousands of publications on our website. Do you want to take a quick tour of the OpenBook's features? Show this book's table of contents , where you can jump to any chapter by name. Write Essay. . or use these buttons to go back to the previous chapter or skip to the next one. Jump up to the previous page or down to the next one. Also, you can type in a page number and press Enter to go directly to help physics login, that page in the book. Switch between the Original Pages , where you can read the report as it appeared in print, and Text Pages for the web version, where you can highlight and search the text. Film Review Essay. To search the entire text of this book, type in your search term here and press Enter . Share a link to to do degree, this book page on your preferred social network or via email. View our suggested citation for this chapter.

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Action Speaks Scholar#8217;s Essay: Modern Times (Chaplin, 1936), by Charles Musser. In 2012, we decided to ask one of our panelists or an additional scholar to write texts for Write review each of Homework, our Action Speaks’ topics. This one by Charles Musser accompanies the 1936 Chaplin’s ‘Modern Times’ Debuts radio show. We hope that you enjoy it. Film Juliet? Chaplin’s Modern Times (1936) spoke in comedic yet forceful terms about the crushing experiences of Writing paper nursing, so many living through the review essay juliet Great Depression. Seventy-six years later, the Essay writing uk film still speaks to many of film essay, us mired in the Great Recession. Help Physics? But first, some background. Charlie Chaplin had not released a film for five years when Modern Times moved into movie theaters in essay juliet February 1936.

Curiosity, skepticism and suspense swirled around its approaching debut. Better? Charlie was of the most famous people in the world; but his good friends Mary Pickford and Douglas Fairbanks, movie stars of the highest magnitude in the 1910s and Write film, 1920s, had recently retired from Help with homework online acting. The three of Write film review essay juliet, them had founded United Artists along with director D. W. Griffith, who was also in writing forced retirement. Chaplin was a silent comedian–-and determined to remain so––a decade into the era of sound movies. He played an old-fashioned, gentlemanly tramp but there was nothing gentlemanly or old-fashioned about the Depression. Essay? It seemed all too possible that the title of his new film’s–– Modern Times ––would be a sad misnomer—even the final act of his illustrious career. Reviewers and moviegoers were not only relieved, they were ecstatic.

Following the film’s world premiere on February 5th, Frank Nugent wrote in the New York Times. To Do My Geology? The polls are closed, the returns are in film and Charlie Chaplin has been re-elected king of the clowns. In Modern Times , which opened Wednesday night at the Rivoli before an help, audience of his loyal subjects, his comic majesty was restored to Write film review, the waiting throne, which he had abdicated five long years ago. When the little monarch returned, still wearing the royal raiment of battered derby hat, bamboo cane and speck of mustache, a might cry went up from the populace. King Charles was back and it was just as though he never had been away.[1] Writing from New York City to principles fischer edition, the Los Angeles Times , Norbert Lusk reported, The magnificent reception given Modern Times by the press and public at last week’s premiere at the Rivoli Theater gains confirmation as the picture settles down for a long run. Every record achieved in the eighteen years the film essay juliet theater has stood on Broadway has been broken.

For the first time in its existence, a showing at online, 2:30 am is a nightly occurrence and it is said that 70,000 persons saw the film over its first week-end. Be that as it may, the Write film review essay critical salvos are virtually without a parallel. There is everything to help physics login, prove that reviewers consider Charlie Chaplin the greatest artist of the day as conclusively as exhibitors recognize him as the greatest attraction.[2] Debuts quickly followed in other major cities across the world: London’s Tivoli Theatre on February 11, Hollywood’s Grauman’s Chinese Theater on Feb 12 th , Boston’s Majestic Theatre on Feb 14 th , Atlanta’s Loew’s Grand theater on Feb 21 st , and review, Chicago’s United Artist Theater on Feb 22 rd . Charlie was repeatedly hailed as “first among the comedians.”[3] Then, less than two weeks after the New York premiere, Chaplin and his co-star Paulette Goddard left Los Angeles for Honolulu and to do my geology, then went on film juliet, to Japan, China (they were secretly married in Shanghai) and the Philippines. Chaplin’s work on Modern Times was bookended by world travel. His ideas for the film perhaps began to develop as he left Los Angeles on January 31st, 1931—one day after the world premiere of City Lights . Stopping off in New York City for that local unveiling on February 6 th , he told New York World reporter Flora Merrill : “While crossing the continent I have been talking to research, all sorts of men—railroad men, workers, fellow travellers––and I heard that times are even harder than before the Write end of the old year.”[4] These encounters led him to conclude that “The present deplorable conditions certainly cannot be charged against the five million men out of work, ready to work, anxious to work, and yet unable to Essay uk, get jobs.” He was also highly critical of laborsaving devices, which he felt should make people’s lives better instead of film review juliet, generating more profits. Essay Better Uk? These concerns would provide a framework for the film he would undertake four years later. A week after the New York premiere of City Lights , Chaplin departed for Europe where he met many kinds of people. In England, the juliet filmmaker not only met the better writing Prince of Wales, Churchill and Write review, Gandhi but also visited the Poor Law School in Writing research Hanwell, where he had spent time as a child, and an old pub in Blackburn where he had lodged while a young struggling actor (for the latter visit he went unrecognized).[5] He arrived back in Los Angeles via Yokohama, Japan, on June 10, 1932.

Within a few weeks, he announced an economic plan that was designed to stimulate the economy by increasing the quantity of money in circulation.[6] It was a front-page news story. Write Film Essay? Chaplin’s Modern Times seems more or less consciously poised on a semiotic seesaw. Artistically, he was torn between working within the tradition of silent film and pantomime that he had mastered and staying up-to-date by moving into the sound era. The comedy offers an ingenious middle ground as we hear Charlie’s voice in Modern Times , but only at the end and better, only as he sings a nonsense song. Essay? There are other voices, but they are always mediated through technologies such as radio or closed circuit television. Indeed Charlie’s tramp is caught in a similar time trap. Although the film is clearly is set in the modern times of mid-1930s America, Charlie remains the old 19 th century gentleman tramp. Better Writing? Charlie had been an old-fashioned tramp even in the Keystone and Essanay films of Write review essay juliet, 1914-15, while The Gold Rush (1925) was cleverly set during the Klondike gold rush of 1897-99. By the with online chat 1930s, Chaplin’s tramp character was no longer old-fashioned: he was from another realm of time entirely. This disjunction was further underscored by his use of panchromatic film. The tramp’s white flesh tones in the 1910s and 1920s had depended on pancake make up and orthochromatic film stock: conventions that were shared across the industry.

This look had become antiquated with the regular use of panchromatic film by the early 1930s. Chaplin used panchromatic film for review Modern Times and bestowed realistic skin tones on his co-star Paulette Goddard. This flattered his leading lady but emphasized his on-screen identity as a silent clown. Likewise the factory settings, the strikes, riots, clothing, and other sets were all current with the times even as Chaplin recycled and uk, reworked many of the gags from his classic films of the review essay juliet 1910s ( Work , The Rink , The Floorwalker , Police and so forth). Even the opening credits, which are superimposed over a clock, look backwards to homework, the opening moments of The Pawnshop (1916) in which Charlie enters the shop and checks his pocket watch against a wall calendar. (The clock is the embodiment of industrial discipline and Chaplin starts this film with a clock as a quietly ominous backdrop.) A somewhat distant past (20 years earlier)––recalled nostalgically––and a harsh present are interwoven, but not seamlessly. It is worth noting that Modern Times was the last hurrah for Write film Chaplin’s tramp character. The filmmaker must have found these tensions, both intended and unavoidable, to be at once compelling and unsustainable. The comedy’s semiotic seesaw operated along several different axes and is strongly evident in its reception.

Of course, everyone acknowledged that Chaplin’s story had a contemporary setting and resonated with contemporary events. Charlie, the tramp character, is clearly identified in accounting the film as “a worker.” Just out of jail, Charlie walks down a street and picks up a red flag that has fallen off a truck with an oversized load. A group of strikers fall in Write behind him, and island trees, the police assume that our innocent tramp is a labor agitator: he is quickly clobbered and arrested. Write Film Essay? So was Chaplin’s tramp now siding with the Communists—despite himself? Another time, our apparently apolitical worker tries to with college homework online chat, avoid a labor confrontation: as he leaves, Charlie steps on Write, a plank, which sends a brick flying onto the head of a policeman—which again gets him arrested as a labor agitator. Is Charlie slyly, “unconsciously” or perhaps despite his conscious intentions fighting for unions and the radical political groups?

This is Advanced accounting principles fischer edition, certainly one possible interpretation. After all, in earlier Chaplin comedies, the tramp seemingly does not intend to hit his boss or supervisor with a ladder or some other handy weapon—but does so with telling consistency. Film Juliet? In fact, Chaplin went out of to do homework degree, his way to insist that Modern Times was not political, at Write film review essay juliet, least in this respect. One newspaper article, headlined “Chaplin Denies Any Attempt at Propaganda,” read: Chaplin said before sailing that “a lot of Writing hypothesis paper nursing, highbrow critics and many professional sympathizers with radical politics have seen in my pictures a significance that is not there. They think the gags about the parade and review essay, the strike indicate an antipathy to capital and a desire to present subtle propaganda.” Chaplin said he disliked to help physics login, disagree with person so undoubtedly sincere and so intelligent and sympathetic toward him personally as his self-appointed highbrow interpreters who see his comedy as a solemn effort to carry out a mission but feels he has to set himself right. “Maybe I’m wrong in trying to be funny,” Charlie said, “but all I was thinking of and trying to bring about Write essay was something that would induce people to edition, laugh. I have my serious moments, but my movie was only trying to Write essay, amuse.

I want people to Advanced fischer, laugh at me, not to review essay juliet, think big thoughts.”[7] Mae Tinee of the Chicago Tribune eagerly obliged: “ Modern Times … is really great entertainment. The story is utterly fantastical and, contrary to rumors that have been rumbling round and round, preaches no sermons.”[8] Another critic observed, “Whether the little tramp is a comic soldier, a street cleaner, a heroic prospector, a circus performer, or, as in his late picture, Modern Times … a cog in the well-oiled machine of the help physics login modern factory system, he remains always the same shabby-genteel waif in essay juliet a cruel and Webassign help, unconquerable world that will have none of him. And always his uniform is the film same: derby, moustache, shoes and cane.”[9] Many but not all critics supported this apolitical reading. Of course, one long-established strategy of political filmmakers is to Webassign, insist their films are not political.[10] Yet another analysis would note that films are often intentionally ambiguous and even internally contradictory texts such that they can be read differently depending on how one chooses to read them. Modern Times , nevertheless, seeks to review juliet, articulate the experiences of with college homework online chat, millions of employed and Write, unemployed workers in college the Great Depression—workers who often suffered intermittent employment as does his character. Recognizing and sympathizing with the film essay workers’ plight in its many dimension was itself a radical act. Online Trees Alumni? The first part of the film review film looks at research paper nursing, the employed in these severe economic times even as it offers a burlesque or satire on modern industrialization, the dehumanization of the assembly line and the use of labor saving devices to further exploit those workers lucky enough to have a job. This extended sequence seems more straight forward, though it too is film essay juliet, open to a range of interpretations. Charlie is a worker on an assembly line, whose job is to endlessly tighten bolts. It is Help with homework online, identified as a steel factory, but the place looks nothing like a steel mill. This naming is an Write film essay juliet, obvious cover or displacement for something else.

We never actually see what is Someone homework, produced, but this assembly line in film its very abstraction strongly evokes the Ford assembly line. If much of Modern Times offers a backward look, this applies to the assembly line as well. Chaplin began work in motion pictures—for Mack Sennett—in December 1913 at virtually the writing same moment that Henry Ford was introducing the assembly line for auto manufacturing. Ten years later, in October 1923, Chaplin actually visited Henry Ford and Write film review, his auto assembly plant in Highland Park, and Writing hypothesis paper, the large dynamo in the background of the group portrait with Chaplin, Henry Ford and Write essay juliet, his son Edsel, is recalled in the Expressionistic factory where Charlie works.[11] [photo] The assembly line provides a crucial starting point and login, anchor for review juliet Modern Times . The idea of the Ford assembling line was transferred from the slaughterhouse in which the carcasses of animals were disassembled.[12] This suggests an intriguing interpretation of the opening shot –a herd of sheep that dissolves to a group of men emerging from the subway and heading to the factory where we will eventually glimpse Charlie tightening bolts on the line. These workers are lambs being led to better uk, the slaughter, their humanity to be disassembled through their incorporation into a technology of the slaughterhouse itself. Overseeing it all is the master capitalist who sits in Write film essay juliet a spartan office.

This figure with his white hair again easily stands in for Ford himself. This is further underscored as this corporate mastermind tells the bare-chested man at the controls to increase the speed of the line. In fact, Ford was known for slowly increasingly the speed of his factory assembly lines each week to extract greater productivity from his workers. Much of Chaplin’s comedy in the 1910s and beyond involved resistance to work of all kinds, but particularly to the regimented workplace. Here, in Modern Times , both the regimentation and accounting 11th edition, the resistance are taken to a logical conclusion. The world of Henry Ford was expressionistically visualized even as it was transposed through the introduction of Write review essay, two other futuristic technologies that are closely linked in online terms of the film’s comic, semantic seesaw. One is an automatic eating machine that is review juliet, designed to physics, feed workers even as they still work on review essay, the line. It is meant to be a labor saving device.

Charlie is the online island trees alumni unlucky guinea pig as the inventor seeks to demonstrate its efficiencies; but as the machine malfunctions, Charlie ends up the comic victim of film, physical abuse—a comic demonstration of the worker’s reduction to a dehumanized state.[13] The other futuristic technology is less obviously funny and involves the use of close-circuit television as an Someone to do my geology degree, instrument of pervasive surveillance. This employment of television cameras and screens throughout the factory is a modernized version of review essay, Foucault’s panopticon, which allows the company president to monitor his corporate domain, from different sections of the factory floor to the bathrooms—and then chastise or command those in his purview. It is not that everyone is help physics login, being watched at every moment but that they might be being watched at any given moment, which makes this technology so effective and Write review juliet, intruding. Charlie retreats to college homework, the bathroom for a quick smoke and via the Write film juliet surveillance system, the corporate president tells him to get back to to do homework, work. This futuristic technology, which has since become embedded in our daily lives in only slightly modified form, was a mere abstraction of Ford’s Service Department or Internal Security, headed by Write review essay juliet, Harry Bennett (1892–1979). As Wikipedia puts it, “The job of the Service Department was to deal with the growing labor unrest and the labor unions that were starting to form. Ford had instituted a policy called #8220;speed up#8221; by which the Webassign help login speed of the assembly lines were increased slightly every week and film essay, employees were feeling the strain.”[14] Farm boys, Chaplin noted in his autobiography, often suffered nervous breakdowns after a few years on the line.[15] The tramp’s nervous breakdown, which leads to the total disruption of the assembly line, has a much more direct cause-and-effect relationship than is the case in his earlier films such as The Pawnshop where the tramp’s resistance and destructive ineptitude have no direct basis in the job itself. Modern Times takes place in a city that is never specified (and purposefully abstracted) but is effectively Detroit. During 1932-1935 and beyond, Detroit was a center of Writing hypothesis research paper nursing, industrial conflict and violence of the kind that Chaplin was evoking in Modern Times . The father of the Gamine (Paulette Goddard) is killed during a demonstration—leaving his young children destitute and headed to essay, a state institution (like the one Chaplin had himself experienced).

One counterpart that took place in Detroit was the Ford Hunger March, which also became known as the Ford Massacre.[16] Workers––organized by the Detroit Unemployed Council and the Auto, Aircraft and Vehicle Workers of America––marched to the Ford River Rouge plant in Dearborn, Michigan—on March 7, 1932. They planned to present Ford with a petition of login, 14 demands. As they approached, Dearborn Police and Ford’s Security met the workers with tear gas and review juliet, clubs. To Do Degree? The confrontation spilled out of control and four workers were killed (a fifth died from film essay his wounds several months later). Frequent strikes and labor unrest continued not only at Ford but also at the factories of its suppliers. Desperate workers were condemned as Communists even as Ford did everything possible to oppose the unions. Help With College Homework Online? Employment fluctuated and there was no unemployment insurance or other elements of Write film essay, a “safety net.” The scene in which ex-workers break into a store—where Charlie found work as a night watchman—again resonated with reality.

Charlie and the Gamine (Paulette Godard) live for a time in a Hooverville shack: this emblem of the depression may be a home of sorts but it is a comically dangerous one. The almost comical disorganization of employment and Essay uk, the recurrent obsession with food in Modern Times are all part of the fabric of Write review, Depression America–-read undoubtedly through Chaplin’s own memories of desperation as a young child. Better Writing? Did the unemployed and underemployed find a way to see Modern Times? Looking for any kind of cause and effect between this film and larger political and economic changes would be absurd, but Robert S. McElvaine in his book The Great Depression suggests that it was important for the desperate and unemployed to recognize that the lack of a job was not their failure but a larger collective one—something Chaplin’s film and his personal comments in the press sought to film review juliet, underscore. By the end of 1936, the United Auto Workers had launched a sit down strikes in Advanced accounting Flint, Michigan, which would force General Motors to recognize the UAW in a one-page agreement on February 1, 1937—less than a year after Modern Times debuted. How Detroit residents responded to the film is difficult to tell.

It opened on February 20 th at the United Artists theater and essay juliet, played for three weeks––an extended run. Tickets were 30? before 2 pm—and perhaps some unemployed or underemployed went at these reduced rates, but very few would have had the extra cash unless others in the household were working. The very conservative Detroit Fee Press , undoubtedly in coordination with United Artists and even Chaplin, pretended the politics of the film and the filmmaker did not exist. Advanced publicity declared that Modern Times “is of interest because it reveals an almost firece loyalty to his associates that is an outstanding Chaplin characteristic. Throughout all those years of Webassign help physics, inactivity Chaplin maintained his complete technical staff and to a large extent the same actors who helped produce The Kid [ed-1920].”[17] The day before it local premiere, the Press ran an article “Chaplin Denies That He’s ‘Red’,” in which Chaplin’s business manager Alf Reeves proclaimed: For general information, Mr.

Chaplin is not Jewish. Neither is he a communist. He has no political affiliations whatever, nor does he intend his comedy to convey propaganda of any kind. He film was made solely for Write film review entertainment and physics login, laughing purposes and to endeavor to please his great motion picture audienecs everywhere.[18] Reviewer Ella H. McCormick had a delicate task. Write Film Review Juliet? Declaring the film to Essay better uk, be “Impish in its central figure,” she remarked that it “offers an admired old friend [Chaplin’s tramp] in a new frame.” Astutely but discretely, she declared. The Chaplinesque sense of humor, shrewd showmanship and complete disregard of the conventional has entered so forthrightly into the picture as to make it stand alone in supreme merit among Chaplin’s cinemas. With unceasing action, it tells its dramatic, comic, pathetic, satirical story without benefit of Write, words. Chaplin has taken the restlessness, speed and hardness of Help with college homework chat, current existence to exploit inevitable incidents to provoke laughter, resentment, fear, sorrow, tears. The spectator’s reaction is likely to be sustained admiration for the genius of the Write review juliet man who conceived and accomplished a cinema production so risque and stimulating. “[19] Without ever suggesting that Modern Times spoke to Homework island alumni, Detroit residents and auto workers in particularly direct and forceful ways, McCormick’s characterization of the film as risque and Write review essay juliet, unconventional quietly acknowledged the film’s achievement as a social statement. Despite its enthusiastic reception both critically and at the box office, Modern Times was completely forgotten when it came to the Academy Awards.

Chaplin as an independent filmmaker lacked the clout to ensure recognition. Moreover, despite Chaplin’s claims to producing an apolitical film, few were fooled. If the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences had to acknowledge the writing Depression, My Man Godfrey (1936) was a much safer choice and Write review, received six different nominations. Its protagonist (William Powell) is Advanced 11th edition, a rich Bostonian who goes to live in a Hooverville in a fit of despair over Write, a broken love affair. He finds the spirit of the men living in the shantytown to Writing hypothesis paper, be inspirational and restorative. Today’s Great Recession makes it easy for juliet us to with college chat, look back at Write film review, Modern Times with a sense of connection. In today’s moment of Advanced accounting, high and sustained unemployment, the problems and terms are somewhat different. There is unemployment insurance—though it can run out.

Older people use up their life savings and fall back on early social security. Younger people again live with parents. Others lose their homes and live in Write a car. Writing Nursing? The homeless have become a more common sight as some camp out or live in shelters. Others in despair commit suicide and sometimes take their families with them. Review Juliet? Modern Times offers us a way to reflect on an earlier moment when the online island trees alumni unemployed were often dismissed as lazy and felt to film juliet, be failures—when life was different but for many perhaps not all that very different from today. Modern Times (Chaplin, 1936) © Charles Musser 2012. Charles Musser, Professor of American Studies, Film Studies, and Theater Studies at Yale University where he teaches courses on hypothesis research nursing, silent cinema and documentary. His books include The Emergence of Cinema: The American Screen to 1907 (1990).

He recently completed the documentary Errol Morris: A Lightning Sketch (2012) with Carina Tautu. [1] Frank S. Nugent, “The Reign of Good King Charlie,” New York Times , 9 February 1936, X5. [2] “Reception of Chaplin Film Unparalleled,” Los Angeles Times , 16 February 1936, C3. [3] “New Film Reviewed,” Daily Boston Globe , 15 February 1936, 11. [4] Flora Merrill, New York World , February 1931, in David Robinson, Chaplin , 457. [5] Robinson, Chaplin , 424, 438. Film Review Juliet? [6] “Chaplin Tells Economic Plan,” Los Angeles Times , 27 June 1932, A1. [7] George Shaffer, “Chaplin Denies Any Attempt at Help college homework, Propaganda,” Chicago Tribune, 20 February 1936, 13. [8] Mae Tinee, “Chaplin Same Old Comic in Write film review juliet His New Film,” Chicago Tribune, 25 February 1936, 17. [9] “Charlie Chaplin’s Perennial Tramp,” Boston Globe , 23 February 1936, A38. [10] To offer a recent example, cinema verite filmmakers publicly insisted that they have no preconceptions about the Iraq war that they were covering. Their films were not pro-war or anti-war but just trying to show the war “like it is.” [11] “Portrait of Charles Chaplin with Henry and Edsel Ford 10/15/23. Help Homework Online Chat? Edsel Ford, Charles Chaplin and Henry Ford standing in film juliet front of a piece of machinery. In 1936 Chaplin would poke a jab at the Ford style assembly line in his masterpiece, “Modern Times.” (“Digital Learning Objects@Wayne State University,” net.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/MWRC09_169336.pdf ) [13] For a perceptive analysis of the way food is mobilized through this film, see Gregory Stephens, “Biting Back at the Machine: Charlie Chaplin’s Modern Times,” Senses of Cinema, http://sensesofcinema.com/2011/feature-articles/biting-back-at-the-machine-charlie-chaplin%E2%80%99s-modern-times/. Online Island Alumni? [15] Charles Chaplin, My Autobiography, 383.

[17] “Len G. Shaw, “’Modern Times’ Reveals Charlie Chaplin’s Lyality to Friends of review juliet, Another Day,” Detroit Free Press , 18 February 1936, 9. [18] George Shaffer, “Chaplin Denies That He’s ‘Red’,” Detroit Free Press , 19 February 1926, 8. [19] Ella H. McCormick, “Shop Worker Goes Berserk,” Detroit Free Press, 21 February 1936, 13.

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